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Jnana · 07-23-2009, 12:40 PM

The last part of this latest report describes a test they did on their system to see if it would correctly predict the Cuban Missile Crisis from newspaper reports that preceded and followed it. The result was that they would have only a 1 in 8 probability of being able to correctly forecast that NO WAR would have resulted. In other words (mine, not theirs), the system seems to be good at predicting worst case scenarios based on building emotional tension, but may not be so good with situations that are resolved in other ways. The system is far from infallible, as this test shows.

Right now we should be well into the "summer of hell". There are certainly lots of people having financial difficulties, and some riots here and there, but the language coming out of these reports can be a bit "over the top".

07-23-2009, 12:40 PM	#28
Jnana Avalon Senior Member Join Date: Sep 2008 Location: Indiana Posts: 653	Re: New HalfPastHuman report The last part of this latest report describes a test they did on their system to see if it would correctly predict the Cuban Missile Crisis from newspaper reports that preceded and followed it. The result was that they would have only a 1 in 8 probability of being able to correctly forecast that NO WAR would have resulted. In other words (mine, not theirs), the system seems to be good at predicting worst case scenarios based on building emotional tension, but may not be so good with situations that are resolved in other ways. The system is far from infallible, as this test shows. Right now we should be well into the "summer of hell". There are certainly lots of people having financial difficulties, and some riots here and there, but the language coming out of these reports can be a bit "over the top". Last edited by Jnana; 07-23-2009 at 12:54 PM.