LETS NOT FOR GET THE STATISTICS THEY SPEAK FOR THEM SELVES
update
http://www.recombinomics.com/News/01...raine_940.html
Audio Nov 24 Dec2 Dec17 Dec30 twitter
Live feed of underlying pandemic map data here
Commentary
Ukraine Fatalities Jump to 940 - Over 4 Million Infected
Recombinomics Commentary 13:20
January 12, 2010
4,106,091 Influenza/ARI
242,246 Hospitalized
940 Dead
The above tally is the latest from the Ukraine Ministry of Health website. The number dead has increased by 22 in the past 24 h and 42 in the past 48 h, which is close to one death per hour, even though the number of cases per day has decline so only 5 of the 27 regions remain above the epidemic threshold. In the past 2 days there were 7 deaths recorded for Kyiv and 6 for Donetsk, which now has 134 deaths (see map).
The high rate of fatalities is of concern because of the high frequency of fatal cases with receptor binding domain changes. Although several countries have a case fatality rate for H1N1 patients with D225G/N, in Ukraine all 8 sequences from fatal cases have D225G, D225N, or both.
Moreover, similar changes are being reported for adjacent regions in Russia and Moldova, and spikes in fatalities are also being reported in countries in the region, including a cluster in Romainia
Ukraine is being careful watched because of concerns that the sub-clade with these receptor binding domain changes will became more common, leading to a higher rate of severe and fatal cases. Recent sequences from the Kyiv area had both D225G and D225N, which corresponds to the spread of fatal H1N1 cases.
update
http://www.recombinomics.com/News/01...mania_CFR.html
Audio Dec17 Dec30 Jan6 Jan13 twitter
Live feed of underlying pandemic map data here
Commentary
Spike in H1N1 Fatalities in Romania Raises Concerns
Recombinomics Commentary 23:15
January 14, 2010
Secretary of State Adrian Streinu-Cercel said the fatality rate in influenza A/H1N1 virus in the last six weeks increased from 0.1% to 1.32%.
The above comments reflect a dramatic rise in the number of deaths in the past six week in Romania. The above rate is likely linked to lab confirmed cases and over-represents the true fatality rate, but the dramatic rise is likely linked to the spread of D225G. Six weeks ago samples were sent to Mill Hill, which has likely confirmed D225G. The increase in activity in November was near the Ukraine border, and mutations like those in Ukraine have been cited in media reports. Recent reports also described a cluster of severed cases that involved hospitalization of three from the cluster, followed by the death of two (42F and 21M). These fatalities led to a run on vaccine in Olt County.
These media reports provide further support for the spread of D225G/N. Sequences from Ukraine, Moldova, and Russia with D225G/N have been made public and all appear to be from fatal cases. The sequences are from the same clade, adding addition support for the transmission of these receptor binding domain changes at position 225.
These data do not support the WHO working hypothesis that D225G and D225N are due to independent random mutations. The low frequency of D225G/N in public sequences places the changes of 8 of 8 fatal cases with D225G/N in Ukraine at a trillion to one, and the recent results significantly raise those odds because all of the recently released sequences from fatal cases in Russia also have these changes.
The spread of these sequences raise concerns that these changes will be present at higher frequencies in the next wave of infections. Mill Hill assigned a "low reactor" characterization of a Ukraine isolate, and the sequences had D225G as the only non-synonymous HA change, raise concern for selection of these changes.
Release of sequences from Romania would be useful.
Quote:
Originally Posted by Phtha
Perhaps someone should inform these alien phantoms as to what 'here' really is, wherefore they might rethink their plan.  |